Hola my friends,
A tough week ahead on the weather front here in Tahoe. Mother Nature just not quite breaking loose and delivering the "cold smoke POW" we want so badly. Now remember it is still November & last year was not the normal start to the season. As I wish I was knee to chest deep right now it looks as if we have a few more days to wait and watch. This is the norm for Tahoe in November, Here is your 7 day forecast. Mid-week a cooler front will help us on the snowmaking front. Slight chance of precip later in the week towards Thurs - Friday.
Today: Partly cloudy. Highs 49 to 64 higher elevations...54 to 69 lower elevations. Prevailing south winds up to 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Colder. Lows 25 to 40 higher elevations...33 to 47 lower elevations. Prevailing east winds up to 10 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 48 to 63 higher elevations...54 to 68 lower elevations. Prevailing east winds up to 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Over ridges...prevailing southwest winds 10 to 25 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 40 higher elevations... 35 to 45 lower elevations. Light winds.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 36 to 51 higher elevations... 48 to 63 lower elevations. Prevailing northeast winds 10 to 15 mph...except west 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 75 mph over ridges.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Breezy...colder. Lows 19 to 34.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Breezy. Highs 35 to 50.
Thursday Night and Friday: Mostly clear. Windy. Lows 19 to 34. Highs 36 to 51.
Friday Night: Clear. Lows 21 to 36.
Saturday through Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs 40 to 55. Lows 22 to 37.
Here is the Long Range:
LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
RIDGE BUILDING IN THE PACIFIC BETWEEN 130W AND 140W WITH TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN TO MAINTAIN A COLD NORTH-NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. THE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND WESTERN NORTH AMERICA SHOULD EVOLVE INTO LARGE BLOCK, WHICH MAY KEEP THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA DRY THROUGH EARLY DECEMBER. MAIN IMPACTS ARE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO SATURDAY, GUSTY VALLEY WINDS AND STRONG RIDGE WINDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AS THE TROUGH DIGS INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA THURSDAY, A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST JET SETS UP OVER NORTHERN NEVADA AND THE SIERRA. THIS JET WILL COMBINE WITH A SURFACE HIGH BUILDING INTO NORTHEAST NEVADA AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION TO PRODUCE A STRONG FLOW AT RIDGE LEVEL.MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RIDGE WINDS OF 60-90 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 100 MPH INTO THURSDAY. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE VALLEY WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WITH UNSAFE BOATING CONDITIONS ON LAKE TAHOE THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS OVER THE RIDGES AND IN TAHOE BASIN SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS THE JET, COLD AIR ADVECTION AND SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS SLOWLY WEAKEN.